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Thread: Free Agent wins the game

  1. #11
    King of the World
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    I've dialed back SFA RB performance a few weeks ago. A SFA HB could still rip off a 60 yard run (with lower probability than before the adjustment), in which case their YPC will still be good even if every other run in that game is less then 3 yards.

    All NFL players have good games and bad games. So it is possible that a SFA will have a good game from time to time. In a small sample size it is easy to sample well above the mean performance of a given player. Context also matters. If you have an all star surrounding cast, a FA can look decent. But averaged over a bunch of games, SFA are going to perform worse within context that average players.
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  2. #12
    Quote Originally Posted by cdcox View Post
    I've dialed back SFA RB performance a few weeks ago. A SFA HB could still rip off a 60 yard run (with lower probability than before the adjustment), in which case their YPC will still be good even if every other run in that game is less then 3 yards.

    All NFL players have good games and bad games. So it is possible that a SFA will have a good game from time to time. In a small sample size it is easy to sample well above the mean performance of a given player. Context also matters. If you have an all star surrounding cast, a FA can look decent. But averaged over a bunch of games, SFA are going to perform worse within context that average players.
    that's a start......now let's dial back the QB ratings of 130+, 88 yard KO returns, 60 yard punt returns........

  3. #13
    Quote Originally Posted by cdcox View Post
    I've dialed back SFA RB performance a few weeks ago. A SFA HB could still rip off a 60 yard run (with lower probability than before the adjustment), in which case their YPC will still be good even if every other run in that game is less then 3 yards.

    All NFL players have good games and bad games. So it is possible that a SFA will have a good game from time to time. In a small sample size it is easy to sample well above the mean performance of a given player. Context also matters. If you have an all star surrounding cast, a FA can look decent. But averaged over a bunch of games, SFA are going to perform worse within context that average players.
    that's a start......now let's dial back the QB ratings of 130+, 88 yard KO returns, 60 yard punt returns........

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